timeseries

Circle Attention: Forecasting Network Traffic by Learning Interpretable Spatial Relationships from Intersecting Circles (2023)

Circle Attention: Forecasting Network Traffic by Learning Interpretable Spatial Relationships from Intersecting Circles (2023)

ECML-PKDD 2023

Abstract Accurately forecasting traffic in telecommunication networks is essential for operators to efficiently allocate resources, provide better services, and save energy. We propose Circle Attention, a novel spatial attention mechanism for telecom traffic forecasting, which directly models the area of effect of neighboring cell towers. Cell towers typically point in three different geographical directions, called sectors. Circle Attention models the relationships between sectors of neighboring cell towers by assigning a circle with learnable parameters to each sector, which are: the azimuth of the sector, the distance from the cell tower to the center of the circle, and the radius of the circle.
Explainable Anomaly Detection using Masked Latent Generative Modeling (2023)

Explainable Anomaly Detection using Masked Latent Generative Modeling (2023)

arXiv

Abstract We present a novel time series anomaly detection method that achieves excellent detection accuracy while offering a superior level of explainability. Our proposed method, TimeVQVAE-AD, leverages masked generative modeling adapted from the cutting-edge time series generation method known as TimeVQVAE. The prior model is trained on the discrete latent space of a time-frequency domain. Notably, the dimensional semantics of the time-frequency domain are preserved in the latent space, enabling us to compute anomaly scores across different frequency bands, which provides a better insight into the detected anomalies.
Navigating the Metric Maze: A Taxonomy of Evaluation Metrics for Anomaly Detection in Time Series (2023)

Navigating the Metric Maze: A Taxonomy of Evaluation Metrics for Anomaly Detection in Time Series (2023)

Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery

Abstract The field of time series anomaly detection is constantly advancing, with several methods available, making it a challenge to determine the most appropriate method for a specific domain. The evaluation of these methods is facilitated by the use of metrics, which vary widely in their properties. Despite the existence of new evaluation metrics, there is limited agreement on which metrics are best suited for specific scenarios and domain, and the most commonly used metrics have faced criticism in the literature.
Persistence initialization: A novel adaptation of the transformer architecture for time series forecasting (2023)

Persistence initialization: A novel adaptation of the transformer architecture for time series forecasting (2023)

Applied Intelligence

Abstract Time series forecasting is an important problem, with many real world applications. Transformer models have been successfully applied to natural language processing tasks, but have received relatively little attention for time series forecasting. Motivated by the differences between classification tasks and forecasting, we propose PI-Transformer, an adaptation of the Transformer architecture designed for time series forecasting, consisting of three parts: First, we propose a novel initialization method called Persistence Initialization, with the goal of increasing training stability of forecasting models by ensuring that the initial outputs of an untrained model are identical to the outputs of a simple baseline model.
Global Transformer Architecture for Indoor Room Temperature Forecasting (2023)

Global Transformer Architecture for Indoor Room Temperature Forecasting (2023)

CISBAT 2023

Abstract A thorough regulation of building energy systems translates in relevant energy savings and in a better comfort for the occupants. Algorithms to predict the thermal state of a building on a certain time horizon with a good confidence are essential for the implementation of effective control systems. This work presents a global Transformer architecture for indoor temperature forecasting in multi-room buildings, aiming at optimizing energy consumption and reducing greenhouse gas emissions associated with HVAC systems.
Masked Generative Modeling with Enhanced Sampling Scheme (2023)

Masked Generative Modeling with Enhanced Sampling Scheme (2023)

arXiv

Abstract This paper presents a novel sampling scheme for masked non-autoregressive generative modeling. We identify the limitations of TimeVQVAE, MaskGIT, and Token-Critic in their sampling processes, and propose Enhanced Sampling Scheme (ESS) to overcome these limitations. ESS explicitly ensures both sample diversity and fidelity, and consists of three stages: Naive Iterative Decoding, Critical Reverse Sampling, and Critical Resampling. ESS starts by sampling a token set using the naive iterative decoding as proposed in MaskGIT, ensuring sample diversity.
Vector Quantized Time Series Generation with a Bidirectional Prior Model (2023)

Vector Quantized Time Series Generation with a Bidirectional Prior Model (2023)

AISTATS 2023

Abstract This paper presents a novel sampling scheme for masked non-autoregressive generative modeling. We identify the limitations of TimeVQVAE, MaskGIT, and Token-Critic in their sampling processes, and propose Enhanced Sampling Scheme (ESS) to overcome these limitations. ESS explicitly ensures both sample diversity and fidelity, and consists of three stages: Naive Iterative Decoding, Critical Reverse Sampling, and Critical Resampling. ESS starts by sampling a token set using the naive iterative decoding as proposed in MaskGIT, ensuring sample diversity.
Computer Vision Self-supervised Learning Methods on Time Series (2022)

Computer Vision Self-supervised Learning Methods on Time Series (2022)

arXiv

Abstract Self-supervised learning (SSL) has had great success in both com- puter vision and natural language processing. These approaches often rely on cleverly crafted loss functions and training setups to avoid feature collapse. In this study, the effectiveness of mainstream SSL frameworks from computer vision and some SSL frameworks for time series are evaluated on the UCR, UEA and PTB-XL datasets, and we show that computer vision SSL frameworks can be effective for time series.
Deep Learning for Assessing Risk of Prostate Cancer (2022)

Deep Learning for Assessing Risk of Prostate Cancer (2022)

PoliTo

Abstract Cancer detection is one of the leading research topics in medical science. Whetherit is breast, lung, brain, or prostate cancer, progress is being made to improve theaccuracy and timing of detection. Prostate cancer is the second most commoncancer in men and the sixth leading cause of cancer death among men in the world.Many prostate cancers are indolent and do not result in cancer mortality, evenwithout treatment. However, a significant percentage of prostate cancer patientshave aggressive cancers that rapidly progress to metastatic disease and are oftendangerous.
Ensemble and Self-supervised Learning for Improved Classification of Seismic Signals from the Åknes Rockslope (2022)

Ensemble and Self-supervised Learning for Improved Classification of Seismic Signals from the Åknes Rockslope (2022)

Mathematical Geosciences

Abstract A case study with seismic geophone data from the unstable Åknes rock slope in Norway is considered. This rock slope is monitored because there is a risk of severe flooding if the massive-size rock falls into the fjord. The geophone data is highly valuable because it provides 1000 Hz sampling rates data which are streamed to a web resource for real-time analysis. The focus here is on building a classifier for these data to distinguish different types of microseismic events which are in turn indicative of the various processes occurring on the slope.